Weekly Market Outlook Provided by Internaxx - 18th June 2007 Print E-mail
Internaxx_FortisUS markets had another positive week helped by reassuring economic data. European markets ended the week sharply up, helped by M&A rumors. Read our latest markets report and company reviews provided by Internaxx.

 

 
Go to : Company preview, Economic Calendar, Corporate Calendar
June 18th - June 22nd
MARKET OUTLOOK

- US : US markets had another positive week helped by reassuring economic data. Shares from Semiconductors, Energy and Automobile led the advance wow, while House & Personal Production, Real Estate and Food & Staples Retailing lost ground. On a technical point of view, the uptrend should continue in the forthcoming days as the 20D MA remain in support.

- EUROPE : European markets ended the week sharply up, helped by M&A rumors. Stocks from Basic Ressources, Chemicals, Automobiles & Parts and Industrial Goods & Services outperformed the market wow while Media and Health Care had a limited positive gain. Technically, we are bullish and expect new year highs to be printed soon.

    
MARKET ROUND UP
Weekly chg (%) Last
Dow Jones 1.6       13639.5
Nasdaq 100 1.9       1942.4
Dax Xetra 5.8       8030.6
Cac 40 3.8       6105.3
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Euro/dollar : The outlook is mixed. The pair stands above a support area, however technical indicators are bearish but oversold. LONG position @ 1.327 with targets at 1.355 and 1.368.

Dollar/yen : The daily RSI is overbought SHORT at 123.9 with targets at 120 and 118.2.


COMPANY PREVIEW
Carnival (GBp 2546 ; 0.87% ; CCL ; CCL.L)

Carnival will post 2Q net income of $405.7m ($380m last year) on revenue of $2.91bln ($2.66bln) on Tuesday. Last week, Citigroup announced the sale of 1.8m shares in Carnival for £45.4m. Separately, Carnival Splendor, the largest "Fun Ship" ever constructed, will start year-round 7day Mexican Riviera cruises in March 2009 and will therefore position the Co as cruise industry leader in Southern California.


Best Buy (USD 47.77 ; -0.79% ; BBY ; BBY.N)

In the US, Best Buy is seen reporting 1Q earnings on the same day. 1Q EPS is seen at $0.50 ($0.50 last year) on sales of $7.83bln ($6.95bln). Last week, the Co hired Omnicom Group's BBDO New York for $200m annually to handle the Co's account planning, advertising strategy and execution, and media and consumer connection planning. Earlier, in June, the group announced its plan to open smaller stores in Canada by the next year that could almost double the number of its locations in the country


Hennes and Mauritz (B) (SEK 428 ; 3.51% ; HMB ; HMb.ST)

On Wednesday, Hennes & Mauritz is scheduled to release 2Q net income of SK3.49bln (SK2.64bln last year) on revenue of SK20.21bln (SK17.06bln). At the beginning of May, the group considered to introduce more new business concepts (Nyhetsbyraan Direkt). The expansion plans for the Co's regular stores will not be affected by the introduction of COS and H&M Home, while the expansion in China and Japan will be concentrated on a few large cities for the foreseeable future.


Morgan Stanley (USD 88.48 ; 1.58% ; MS ; MS.N)

Later, Morgan Stanley may publish 2Q EPS of $2 ($1.85 last year). Last week, the group agreed to invest appx.$60m in Bull Moose Energy to build power plants that will burn wood waste, tree trimmings and other biomass. In other news, Morgan Stanley sold 6.2m shares for £187.6m in Anglo American. Separately, it will have to pay $4.4m to settle a class action lawsuit claiming that it had misguided investors to buy precious metals.


Fedex Corp (USD 111.37 ; 1.8% ; FDX ; FDX.N)

Finally, on Thursday, FedEx will announce 4Q EPS of $1.98 ($1.82 last year) on sales of $9.21bln ($8.49bln). A week ago, FedEx and Adobe Systems announced their collaboration to extend the research of FedEx's Print Online application for the users of Adobe Reader and Adobe Acrobat software. In May, the Co raised quarterly dividend to $0.10 cents a share, following its plan started in 2004.



Selection of those events which may affect the stock prices of international Large Caps

CORPORATE CALENDAR June 18th - June 22nd
Date Market Company Event
Monday, June 18th
US Baxter International 2nd-Quarter results
Tuesday, June 19th
US Carnival 2nd-Quarter results
US Best Buy 1st-Quarter results
US Darden Restaurants 4th-Quarter results
Wednesday, June 20th
DE Danisco annual results
UK DSG International annual results
SW Hennes and Mauritz (B) 2nd-Quarter results
US Morgan Stanley 2nd-Quarter results
US Fedex Corp 4th-Quarter results
US Circuit City Stores 1st-Quarter results
Thursday, June 21st
US H and R Block 4th-Quarter results
US Jabil Circuit 3rd-Quarter results
US Tektronix 4th-Quarter results
Friday, June 22nd
No major expectations

ECONOMIC CALENDAR June 18th - June 22nd
Date Market Economic data Period Expected Last
Monday, June 18th
19:00 US NAHB Housing Market JUN 30 30
Tuesday, June 19th
11:00 GE Zew Survey (Econ. Sentiment) JUN 29.1 24
11:00 GE Zew Survey (Current Situation) JUN 88.5 88
14:30 US Housing Starts (Thsd) MAY 1488 1528
14:30 US Bulding Permits (Thsd) MAY 1474 1457
Wednesday, June 20th
08:00 GE Producer Price Index (MoM) MAY 0.3% 0.1%
10:30 UK Public Sector Net Borrowing (Bln) MAY 7.26 1141
10:30 UK Public Finances (PSNCR) (Bln) MAY 6.36 -3766
10:30 UK M4 Money Supply (MoM) MAY 1% 1.3%
Thursday, June 21st
08:45 FR Consumer Spending (MoM) MAY 0.4% -0.3%
14:30 US Initial Jobless Claims (Thsd) W23 310 311
16:00 US Leading Indicators MAY 0.2% -0.5%
18:00 US Philadelphia Fed. JUN 7.75 4.2
Friday, June 22nd
GE Import Prices (MoM) MAY 0.4% 0.9%
08:45 FR Wages (QoQ) 1Q 0.9% 0.9%
10:00 GE IFO - Business Climate JUN 108.4 108.6
10:00 GE IFO - Current Assessment JUN 112.3 112.5
10:00 GE IFO - Expectations JUN 104.7 104.8

This document does not constitute financial advice. If you require such advice, you should seek appropriate professional advice. Internaxx accepts no responsibility for the content of this newsletter. Investors are not authorized to copy, reproduce, duplicate, sell, resell or exploit any portion of the Newsletter for their own commercial purposes. In that case, Internaxx will immediately end the subscription.


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